Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 10.040144 11.099118 12.234596 13.544671 15.016998 16.623368 18.512464
2025-10-12 8.579411 10.078769 11.801318 13.935447 16.520560 19.565696 23.446463
2025-10-19 7.374944 9.112021 11.226254 14.009222 17.605925 22.138010 28.345151
2025-10-26 6.394806 8.244133 10.607981 13.886041 18.369112 24.365650 33.129425
2025-11-02 5.615729 7.508594 10.032543 13.695705 18.962388 26.394287 37.916911
2025-11-09 4.983711 6.878423 9.500025 13.461320 19.417163 28.238492 42.677411
2025-11-16 4.487955 6.372040 9.066798 13.289782 19.903958 30.148435 47.789541
2025-11-23 4.099781 5.972745 8.733969 13.208940 20.489332 32.249537 53.501755
2025-11-30 3.862515 5.768575 8.662228 13.508190 21.692903 35.477960 61.628691
2025-12-07 3.567183 5.443500 8.365679 13.402294 22.195417 37.567899 68.036588
2025-12-14 3.267305 5.082044 7.973292 13.086751 22.284821 38.920204 73.247463
2025-12-21 3.047332 4.828746 7.730520 12.994136 22.746080 40.989357 80.191249
2025-12-28 2.938247 4.753103 7.783432 13.438827 24.272791 45.337203 92.767209
2026-01-04 2.825916 4.662059 7.801168 13.821805 25.734607 49.785163 106.496103
2026-01-11 2.674478 4.490167 7.660561 13.892586 26.590608 53.123986 118.414348
2026-01-18 2.509406 4.280350 7.432487 13.769355 27.033749 55.648179 128.923941
2026-01-25 2.351184 4.070106 7.184928 13.580202 27.311962 57.846251 139.090045
2026-02-01 2.202121 3.865081 6.929543 13.347732 27.465326 59.779120 148.987586
2026-02-08 2.074052 3.689488 6.715492 13.177667 27.733702 62.019940 160.227921
2026-02-15 1.967331 3.546340 6.552421 13.097509 28.194723 64.796783 173.637584
2026-02-22 1.910336 3.494292 6.564290 13.393829 29.570911 70.085297 195.794119
2026-03-01 1.815378 3.361073 6.401843 13.288927 29.970017 72.909337 211.067343
2026-03-08 1.707128 3.194155 6.157741 12.976405 29.818901 74.240033 221.871659